Mercedes-Benz Group AG

OTCPK:MBGA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$51.9b

Mercedes-Benz Group Valuation

Is MBGA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MBGA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MBGA.F ($54.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($106.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MBGA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MBGA.F?

Key metric: As MBGA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MBGA.F. This is calculated by dividing MBGA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MBGA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.6x
Earnings€10.84b
Market Cap€49.81b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MBGA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MBGA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.7x
F Ford Motor
12.6x19.7%US$44.4b
GM General Motors
5.9x-10.2%US$64.4b
RACE Ferrari
52.6x9.4%US$78.4b
LI Li Auto
15.8x24.7%US$22.2b
MBGA.F Mercedes-Benz Group
4.6x1.7%US$49.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MBGA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MBGA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MBGA.F 4.6xIndustry Avg. 15.7xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MBGA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MBGA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MBGA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MBGA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MBGA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$54.54
US$75.28
+38.0%
21.8%US$118.92US$47.78n/a22
Nov ’25US$60.55
US$77.59
+28.2%
21.3%US$121.63US$48.87n/a22
Oct ’25US$63.64
US$83.07
+30.5%
21.4%US$125.17US$54.76n/a22
Sep ’25US$69.13
US$92.54
+33.9%
20.2%US$139.52US$61.39n/a22
Aug ’25US$63.90
US$90.32
+41.3%
20.2%US$135.35US$59.56n/a22
Jul ’25US$69.70
US$93.95
+34.8%
17.7%US$134.22US$64.43n/a22
Jun ’25US$72.29
US$95.17
+31.7%
17.6%US$135.75US$65.16n/a22
May ’25US$75.43
US$92.82
+23.1%
18.2%US$133.65US$64.15n/a22
Apr ’25US$79.38
US$91.69
+15.5%
18.5%US$134.26US$64.45n/a22
Mar ’25US$80.24
US$90.82
+13.2%
19.6%US$135.57US$65.08n/a23
Feb ’25US$69.15
US$85.42
+23.5%
21.2%US$125.77US$54.21n/a23
Jan ’25US$69.10
US$86.57
+25.3%
21.9%US$130.55US$54.40n/a22
Dec ’24US$65.55
US$88.55
+35.1%
20.9%US$131.33US$54.72n/a22
Nov ’24US$59.47
US$88.92
+49.5%
19.3%US$127.40US$53.08US$60.5522
Oct ’24US$69.50
US$95.36
+37.2%
14.6%US$126.82US$73.98US$63.6422
Sep ’24US$71.01
US$97.81
+37.7%
14.0%US$129.63US$75.62US$69.1322
Aug ’24US$77.90
US$101.64
+30.5%
12.8%US$131.80US$80.72US$63.9022
Jul ’24US$80.63
US$98.90
+22.7%
12.0%US$123.38US$78.85US$69.7022
Jun ’24US$76.20
US$98.90
+29.8%
12.0%US$123.38US$78.85US$72.2922
May ’24US$78.45
US$100.54
+28.2%
11.7%US$126.72US$79.34US$75.4323
Apr ’24US$76.88
US$99.45
+29.4%
13.3%US$124.66US$75.88US$79.3823
Mar ’24US$78.39
US$94.89
+21.1%
13.1%US$121.99US$74.25US$80.2422
Feb ’24US$77.12
US$94.03
+21.9%
14.1%US$125.01US$70.66US$69.1522
Jan ’24US$65.40
US$89.39
+36.7%
14.6%US$121.38US$68.61US$69.1022
Dec ’23US$67.65
US$88.19
+30.4%
14.7%US$119.82US$67.72US$65.5522
Nov ’23US$58.50
US$83.56
+42.8%
15.2%US$114.62US$62.79US$59.4723

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

Goodyear Tire & Rubber

US$2.8b

Develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells tires and related products and services worldwide.

GT

US$9.71

7D

4.7%

1Y

-31.1%

Gentherm

US$1.3b

Designs, develops, manufactures, and sells thermal management and pneumatic comfort technologies in the United States and internationally.

THRM

US$43.38

7D

2.5%

1Y

-6.7%

Stellantis

€35.9b

Engages in the design, engineering, manufacturing, distribution, and sale of automobiles and light commercial vehicles, engines, transmission systems, metallurgical products, mobility services, and production systems worldwide.

STLA

€13.05

7D

-2.2%

1Y

-36.2%