Mercedes-Benz Group AG

OTCPK:MBGA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$76.2b

Mercedes-Benz Group Valuation

Is MBGA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MBGA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MBGA.F ($73.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($132.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MBGA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MBGA.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MBGA.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.1x
PEG Ratio-3.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MBGA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MBGA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.3x
RACE Ferrari
51.8x8.1%US$73.0b
GM General Motors
4.8x-3.8%US$51.5b
F Ford Motor
12.6x14.4%US$49.2b
TSLA Tesla
40.2x12.4%US$548.2b
MBGA.F Mercedes-Benz Group
5.3x-1.4%US$70.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MBGA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (27.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MBGA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.5%
n/an/an/a
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Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MBGA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MBGA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MBGA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.3x
Fair PE Ratio13.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MBGA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MBGA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$73.74
US$93.39
+26.6%
18.3%US$134.67US$64.64n/a22
May ’25US$75.43
US$92.68
+22.9%
18.4%US$133.65US$64.15n/a22
Apr ’25US$79.38
US$91.69
+15.5%
18.5%US$134.26US$64.45n/a22
Mar ’25US$80.24
US$90.82
+13.2%
19.6%US$135.57US$65.08n/a23
Feb ’25US$69.15
US$85.42
+23.5%
21.2%US$125.77US$54.21n/a23
Jan ’25US$69.10
US$86.57
+25.3%
21.9%US$130.55US$54.40n/a22
Dec ’24US$65.55
US$88.55
+35.1%
20.9%US$131.33US$54.72n/a22
Nov ’24US$59.47
US$88.92
+49.5%
19.3%US$127.40US$53.08n/a22
Oct ’24US$69.50
US$95.36
+37.2%
14.6%US$126.82US$73.98n/a22
Sep ’24US$71.01
US$97.81
+37.7%
14.0%US$129.63US$75.62n/a22
Aug ’24US$77.90
US$101.64
+30.5%
12.8%US$131.80US$80.72n/a22
Jul ’24US$80.63
US$98.90
+22.7%
12.0%US$123.38US$78.85n/a22
Jun ’24US$76.20
US$98.90
+29.8%
12.0%US$123.38US$78.85n/a22
May ’24US$78.45
US$100.54
+28.2%
11.7%US$126.72US$79.34US$75.4323
Apr ’24US$76.88
US$99.45
+29.4%
13.3%US$124.66US$75.88US$79.3823
Mar ’24US$78.39
US$94.89
+21.1%
13.1%US$121.99US$74.25US$80.2422
Feb ’24US$77.12
US$94.03
+21.9%
14.1%US$125.01US$70.66US$69.1522
Jan ’24US$65.40
US$89.39
+36.7%
14.6%US$121.38US$68.61US$69.1022
Dec ’23US$67.65
US$88.19
+30.4%
14.7%US$119.82US$67.72US$65.5522
Nov ’23US$58.50
US$83.56
+42.8%
15.2%US$114.62US$62.79US$59.4723
Oct ’23US$50.71
US$88.97
+75.5%
13.7%US$116.95US$64.07US$69.5023
Sep ’23US$55.19
US$88.97
+61.2%
13.7%US$116.95US$64.07US$71.0123
Aug ’23US$58.99
US$89.55
+51.8%
13.7%US$117.95US$64.62US$77.9023
Jul ’23US$57.88
US$95.09
+64.3%
11.4%US$121.03US$73.67US$80.6323
Jun ’23US$71.83
US$95.63
+33.1%
11.5%US$121.41US$73.90US$76.2024
May ’23US$69.15
US$94.87
+37.2%
12.0%US$121.28US$73.82US$78.4523

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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