Stock Analysis

Is Stoneridge (NYSE:SRI) A Risky Investment?

NYSE:SRI
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Stoneridge, Inc. (NYSE:SRI) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Stoneridge

What Is Stoneridge's Debt?

As you can see below, Stoneridge had US$168.5m of debt, at September 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$32.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$135.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:SRI Debt to Equity History March 3rd 2023

A Look At Stoneridge's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Stoneridge had liabilities of US$178.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$190.9m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$32.9m and US$166.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$169.1m.

Stoneridge has a market capitalization of US$575.5m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Stoneridge can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Stoneridge wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 15%, to US$872m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Stoneridge produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$6.5m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$69m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Stoneridge , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.