Stock Analysis

Strattec Security Corporation's (NASDAQ:STRT) Share Price Boosted 27% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

NasdaqGM:STRT
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Strattec Security Corporation (NASDAQ:STRT) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 52%.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.7x, you may still consider Strattec Security as an attractive investment with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Strattec Security

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:STRT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 4th 2024

How Has Strattec Security Performed Recently?

Strattec Security certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Strattec Security's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Strattec Security?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Strattec Security's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.0%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 26% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.2% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 7.8%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Strattec Security is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Strattec Security's P/S?

Strattec Security's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Strattec Security's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Strattec Security with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of Strattec Security's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Strattec Security is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.