Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Luminar Technologies, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LAZR) 26% Share Price Surge

NasdaqGS:LAZR
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Those holding Luminar Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:LAZR) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 42% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, you may consider Luminar Technologies as a stock not worth researching with its 23.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Luminar Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LAZR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023

How Luminar Technologies Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Luminar Technologies has been doing relatively well. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Luminar Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Luminar Technologies?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Luminar Technologies would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 40% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 239% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 147% each year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 20% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Luminar Technologies' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to Luminar Technologies' P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Luminar Technologies' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 8 warning signs for Luminar Technologies you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Luminar Technologies' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.