MTN Uganda Valuation

Is MTNU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTNU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTNU (UGX170) is trading below our estimate of fair value (UGX221.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTNU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTNU?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MTNU key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTNU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTNU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.5x
AIRTEL UGANDA Airtel Uganda
9.8xn/aUSh3.2t
TEL1L Telia Lietuva
15.5xn/a€981.7m
DIGI Digi Communications
11x-31.8%RON5.3b
SHEN Shenandoah Telecommunications
97.6x-132.7%US$798.6m
MTNU MTN Uganda
7.7xn/aUSh3.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTNU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the peer average (33.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTNU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTNU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the Global Telecom industry average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTNU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTNU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MTNU's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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