Oman Telecommunications Company SAOG

MSM:OTEL Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.ع790.5m

Oman Telecommunications Company SAOG Valuation

Is OTEL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OTEL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OTEL (OMR1.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (OMR2.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OTEL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OTEL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

OTEL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.2x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OTEL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OTEL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.9x
ORDS Omani Qatari Telecommunications Company SAOG
18.1x8.8%ر.ع194.0m
MTELEKOM Magyar Telekom Távközlési Nyilvánosan Müködö Részvénytársaság
11x12.1%Ft867.5b
NOS NOS S.G.P.S
9.2x-4.8%€1.7b
MGTS Moscow City Telephone Network
9.3xn/a₽117.2b
OTEL Oman Telecommunications Company SAOG
10.6x6.9%ر.ع790.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OTEL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OTEL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OTEL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the Asian Telecom industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OTEL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OTEL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.6x
Fair PE Ratio14.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OTEL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OTEL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.ع1.05
ر.ع1.10
+4.7%
6.9%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Apr ’25ر.ع1.04
ر.ع1.10
+6.1%
6.9%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Mar ’25ر.ع1.08
ر.ع1.10
+2.3%
6.9%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Feb ’25ر.ع1.08
ر.ع1.10
+2.1%
6.9%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Jan ’25ر.ع1.07
ر.ع1.10
+3.6%
6.9%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Dec ’24ر.ع1.08
ر.ع1.08
-0.2%
8.2%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Nov ’24ر.ع1.02
ر.ع1.08
+5.7%
8.2%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Oct ’24ر.ع1.00
ر.ع1.08
+7.8%
8.2%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Sep ’24ر.ع1.03
ر.ع1.08
+4.7%
8.2%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Aug ’24ر.ع1.00
ر.ع1.04
+4.3%
7.6%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Jul ’24ر.ع0.99
ر.ع1.04
+5.0%
7.6%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
Jun ’24ر.ع0.96
ر.ع1.04
+8.5%
7.6%ر.ع1.18ر.ع0.98n/a4
May ’24ر.ع1.00
ر.ع1.00
-0.4%
1.2%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.98ر.ع1.053
Apr ’24ر.ع1.10
ر.ع1.00
-9.5%
1.2%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.98ر.ع1.043
Mar ’24ر.ع0.96
ر.ع1.00
+3.3%
1.2%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.98ر.ع1.083
Feb ’24ر.ع0.95
ر.ع1.00
+5.1%
1.2%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.98ر.ع1.083
Jan ’24ر.ع0.92
ر.ع1.00
+8.3%
1.2%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.98ر.ع1.073
Dec ’23ر.ع0.87
ر.ع0.91
+4.7%
12.7%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.75ر.ع1.083
Nov ’23ر.ع0.84
ر.ع0.91
+8.7%
12.7%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.75ر.ع1.023
Oct ’23ر.ع0.88
ر.ع0.91
+3.7%
12.7%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.75ر.ع1.003
Sep ’23ر.ع0.94
ر.ع0.91
-2.5%
12.7%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.75ر.ع1.033
Aug ’23ر.ع0.94
ر.ع0.91
-3.3%
12.7%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.75ر.ع1.003
Jul ’23ر.ع0.87
ر.ع0.91
+4.7%
12.7%ر.ع1.01ر.ع0.75ر.ع0.993
Jun ’23ر.ع0.87
ر.ع0.84
-3.0%
11.8%ر.ع0.98ر.ع0.75ر.ع0.963
May ’23ر.ع0.87
ر.ع0.84
-3.0%
11.8%ر.ع0.98ر.ع0.75ر.ع1.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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