East African Breweries Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

East African Breweries is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 14.4% and 7.9% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 10.6% per annum.

Key information

14.4%

Earnings growth rate

10.6%

EPS growth rate

Beverage earnings growth	21.0%
Revenue growth rate	7.9%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	08 Nov 2023

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DAR:EABL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (KES Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2026	138,701	14,807	15,733	26,224	3
6/30/2025	128,277	13,228	11,768	21,968	3
6/30/2024	117,591	10,611	11,115	20,834	3
6/30/2023	109,649	9,857	-1,972	11,054	N/A
3/31/2023	110,710	10,839	1,217	14,572	N/A
12/31/2022	111,771	11,823	4,406	18,092	N/A
9/30/2022	110,590	11,840	8,570	21,999	N/A
6/30/2022	109,409	11,857	12,733	25,906	N/A
3/31/2022	102,905	10,579	10,018	19,568	N/A
12/31/2021	96,401	9,300	-897	13,230	N/A
9/30/2021	91,181	6,827	2,894	13,921	N/A
6/30/2021	85,962	4,354	6,685	14,612	N/A
3/31/2021	79,741	2,512	3,795	11,516	N/A
12/31/2020	73,520	669	-3,795	8,421	N/A
9/30/2020	74,218	2,378	-4,282	5,884	N/A
6/30/2020	74,916	4,086	-4,769	3,347	N/A
3/31/2020	80,871	6,782	1,778	11,121	N/A
12/31/2019	86,825	9,478	2,726	18,895	N/A
9/30/2019	84,684	9,178	6,762	20,730	N/A
6/30/2019	82,543	8,878	10,797	22,566	N/A
3/31/2019	80,387	8,109	8,368	20,768	N/A
12/31/2018	78,231	7,341	939	18,970	N/A
9/30/2018	75,844	6,512	733	16,265	N/A
6/30/2018	73,457	5,684	528	13,559	N/A
3/31/2018	72,674	6,364	-56	14,307	N/A
12/31/2017	71,891	7,044	4,356	15,054	N/A
9/30/2017	71,069	7,361	6,286	14,484	N/A
6/30/2017	70,247	7,677	8,221	13,914	N/A
3/31/2017	66,106	7,590	N/A	13,434	N/A
12/31/2016	61,964	7,502	N/A	12,954	N/A
9/30/2016	63,143	7,452	N/A	15,766	N/A
6/30/2016	64,322	7,401	N/A	18,577	N/A
3/31/2016	65,689	9,118	N/A	18,118	N/A
12/31/2015	67,166	10,254	N/A	17,659	N/A
9/30/2015	65,793	9,583	N/A	15,609	N/A
6/30/2015	64,420	8,913	N/A	13,559	N/A
12/31/2014	64,202	6,693	N/A	8,959	N/A
9/30/2014	62,747	6,596	N/A	7,576	N/A
6/30/2014	60,749	6,488	N/A	6,193	N/A
3/31/2014	60,790	6,728	N/A	5,938	N/A
12/31/2013	60,287	6,958	N/A	5,683	N/A
9/30/2013	59,674	6,861	N/A	6,993	N/A
6/30/2013	59,062	6,764	N/A	8,303	N/A
3/31/2013	58,720	8,494	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2012	58,378	10,010	N/A	6,964	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: EABL's forecast earnings growth (14.4% per year) is above the savings rate (13.9%).

Earnings vs Market: EABL's earnings (14.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the TZ market (11% per year).

High Growth Earnings: EABL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: EABL's revenue (7.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the TZ market (8.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: EABL's revenue (7.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if EABL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2023/11/18 13:38
End of Day Share Price	2023/08/21 00:00
Earnings	2023/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

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Analyst Sources

East African Breweries PLC is covered by 15 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Adedayo Ayeni	Absa Bank Limited
Adriana Benedetti	African Alliance
Linda Kiraithe	AIB-AXYS Africa Limited