Stock Analysis

Shin Shin Natural Gas' (TWSE:9918) Dividend Will Be Increased To NT$1.50

TWSE:9918
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Shin Shin Natural Gas Company Limited's (TWSE:9918) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to NT$1.50 on 15th of August. This takes the dividend yield to 3.6%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

Check out our latest analysis for Shin Shin Natural Gas

Shin Shin Natural Gas' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Shin Shin Natural Gas' dividend was only 69% of earnings, however it was paying out 181% of free cash flows. This signals that the company is more focused on returning cash flow to shareholders, but it could mean that the dividend is exposed to cuts in the future.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 9.6% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 65% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

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TWSE:9918 Historic Dividend May 27th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of NT$1.20 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of NT$1.50. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 2.3% per annum over that time. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.

Shin Shin Natural Gas Could Grow Its Dividend

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Shin Shin Natural Gas has impressed us by growing EPS at 9.6% per year over the past five years. The lack of cash flows does make us a bit cautious though, especially when it comes to the future of the dividend.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Shin Shin Natural Gas' payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shin Shin Natural Gas (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about. Is Shin Shin Natural Gas not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.