The board of Taiwan Mobile Co., Ltd. (TWSE:3045) has announced that it will pay a dividend of NT$4.30 per share on the 31st of July. This means that the annual payment will be 4.0% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
See our latest analysis for Taiwan Mobile
Taiwan Mobile's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 99% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 51%. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 13.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 89%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was NT$5.60 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was NT$4.30. This works out to be a decline of approximately 2.6% per year over that time. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's not great to see that Taiwan Mobile's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 3.1% per year over the past five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
Taiwan Mobile's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Taiwan Mobile's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Taiwan Mobile that you should be aware of before investing. Is Taiwan Mobile not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About TWSE:3045
Taiwan Mobile
Provides wireless communication services in Taiwan, Republic of China, and internationally.
Proven track record and fair value.