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Investor Optimism Abounds Advantech Co., Ltd. (TWSE:2395) But Growth Is Lacking
Advantech Co., Ltd.'s (TWSE:2395) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.5x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Taiwan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 22x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Advantech has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Advantech
Is There Enough Growth For Advantech?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Advantech would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 21% overall rise in EPS. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 13% per year, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's curious that Advantech's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Advantech's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Advantech currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Advantech with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
You might be able to find a better investment than Advantech. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About TWSE:2395
Advantech
Manufactures and sells embedded computing boards, industrial automation products, and applied and industrial computers.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.