Stock Analysis

King Slide Works Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

TWSE:2059
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It's shaping up to be a tough period for King Slide Works Co., Ltd. (TWSE:2059), which a week ago released some disappointing quarterly results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at NT$2.6b, statutory earnings missed forecasts by 13%, coming in at just NT$12.06 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

View our latest analysis for King Slide Works

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TWSE:2059 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 8th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from King Slide Works' eight analysts is for revenues of NT$12.2b in 2025. This reflects a substantial 37% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 32% to NT$63.12. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of NT$12.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of NT$61.64 in 2025. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on King Slide Works' earnings potential following these results.

The analysts have been lifting their price targets on the back of the earnings upgrade, with the consensus price target rising 6.5% to NT$1,599. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic King Slide Works analyst has a price target of NT$1,875 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at NT$1,300. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that King Slide Works' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 29% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 10% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 21% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect King Slide Works to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around King Slide Works' earnings potential next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for King Slide Works going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You still need to take note of risks, for example - King Slide Works has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.