Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds Tai Twun Enterprise Co., Ltd. (TPE:3432) But Growth Is Lacking

TWSE:3432
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Tai Twun Enterprise Co., Ltd.'s (TPE:3432) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Taiwan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 13x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

For instance, Tai Twun Enterprise's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Tai Twun Enterprise

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TSEC:3432 Price Based on Past Earnings December 14th 2020
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Tai Twun Enterprise, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Tai Twun Enterprise's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 67%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it concerning that Tai Twun Enterprise is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Tai Twun Enterprise's P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Tai Twun Enterprise currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware Tai Twun Enterprise is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Tai Twun Enterprise's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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