Stock Analysis

Genius Electronic Optical (TPE:3406) Has Rewarded Shareholders With An Exceptional 844% Total Return On Their Investment

It hasn't been the best quarter for Genius Electronic Optical Co., Ltd. (TPE:3406) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 16% in that time. But that doesn't undermine the fantastic longer term performance (measured over five years). In that time, the share price has soared some 818% higher! So we don't think the recent decline in the share price means its story is a sad one. But the real question is whether the business fundamentals can improve over the long term.

Anyone who held for that rewarding ride would probably be keen to talk about it.

See our latest analysis for Genius Electronic Optical

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the last half decade, Genius Electronic Optical became profitable. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. Indeed, the Genius Electronic Optical share price has gained 80% in three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 52% each year. This EPS growth is higher than the 22% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
TSEC:3406 Earnings Per Share Growth January 23rd 2021

We know that Genius Electronic Optical has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Genius Electronic Optical, it has a TSR of 844% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Investors in Genius Electronic Optical had a tough year, with a total loss of 15% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 36%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 57%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Genius Electronic Optical better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Genius Electronic Optical that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course Genius Electronic Optical may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on TW exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About TWSE:3406

Genius Electronic OpticalLtd

An investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, processing, and trade of optical instruments, molds, lighting equipment, and related spare parts in Taiwan and China.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.

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