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We Think Tripod Technology (TPE:3044) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Tripod Technology Corporation (TPE:3044) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Tripod Technology
What Is Tripod Technology's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Tripod Technology had debt of NT$14.0b, up from NT$12.7b in one year. However, it does have NT$25.4b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of NT$11.4b.
How Strong Is Tripod Technology's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Tripod Technology had liabilities of NT$35.1b due within a year, and liabilities of NT$3.06b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$25.4b as well as receivables valued at NT$18.1b due within 12 months. So it can boast NT$5.42b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Tripod Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Tripod Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
But the other side of the story is that Tripod Technology saw its EBIT decline by 3.3% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tripod Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Tripod Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Tripod Technology recorded free cash flow worth 60% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Tripod Technology has net cash of NT$11.4b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't think Tripod Technology's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Tripod Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About TWSE:3044
Tripod Technology
Processes, manufactures, and sells printed circuit boards and other related components in Taiwan, China, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.