Stock Analysis

Is TXC (TPE:3042) Using Too Much Debt?

TWSE:3042
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that TXC Corporation (TPE:3042) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for TXC

How Much Debt Does TXC Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 TXC had debt of NT$2.60b, up from NT$1.91b in one year. However, it does have NT$3.38b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of NT$775.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:3042 Debt to Equity History March 31st 2021

A Look At TXC's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that TXC had liabilities of NT$5.09b due within a year, and liabilities of NT$1.85b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$3.38b and NT$3.58b worth of receivables due within a year. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that TXC's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the NT$31.3b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that TXC has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

Better yet, TXC grew its EBIT by 155% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if TXC can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While TXC has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, TXC recorded free cash flow of 47% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case TXC has NT$775.8m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 155% over the last year. So we don't think TXC's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for TXC you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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