The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Yageo Corporation (TPE:2327) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Yageo
What Is Yageo's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Yageo had NT$78.5b of debt, an increase on NT$33.0b, over one year. However, it does have NT$39.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$39.4b.
How Strong Is Yageo's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Yageo had liabilities of NT$67.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$46.1b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$39.1b and NT$14.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$59.7b.
This deficit isn't so bad because Yageo is worth a massive NT$285.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Yageo's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.8 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 209 times, makes us even more comfortable. Notably, Yageo's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 118% on last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yageo can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Yageo recorded free cash flow worth 78% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
The good news is that Yageo's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Yageo's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Yageo that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TWSE:2327
Yageo
Engages in the manufacture and sale of passive components in China, Europe, the United States, and rest of Asia.
Very undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.