Here's Why Senao Networks's (GTSM:3558) Statutory Earnings Are Arguably Too Conservative

Simply Wall St

It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. This article will consider whether Senao Networks' (GTSM:3558) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

We like the fact that Senao Networks made a profit of NT$399.1m on its revenue of NT$7.59b, in the last year. The chart below shows how it has grown revenue over the last three years, but that profit has declined.

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GTSM:3558 Earnings and Revenue History October 22nd 2020

Not all profits are equal, and we can learn more about the nature of a company's past profitability by diving deeper into the financial statements. So today we'll look at what Senao Networks' cashflow tells us about the quality of its earnings. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

A Closer Look At Senao Networks' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to June 2020, Senao Networks recorded an accrual ratio of -0.37. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of NT$516m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of NT$399.1m. Senao Networks did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

Our Take On Senao Networks' Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Senao Networks produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Senao Networks' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example - Senao Networks has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Senao Networks' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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