Stock Analysis

Here's Why ACULA Technology (GTSM:3434) Can Afford Some Debt

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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies ACULA Technology Corp. (GTSM:3434) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for ACULA Technology

How Much Debt Does ACULA Technology Carry?

As you can see below, ACULA Technology had NT$116.0m of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have NT$84.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$31.1m.

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GTSM:3434 Debt to Equity History February 12th 2021

How Healthy Is ACULA Technology's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ACULA Technology had liabilities of NT$185.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$21.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$84.9m in cash and NT$103.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$18.7m.

Of course, ACULA Technology has a market capitalization of NT$300.8m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since ACULA Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, ACULA Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to NT$535m, which is a fall of 25%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While ACULA Technology's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost NT$3.4m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of NT$8.1m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with ACULA Technology (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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