Stock Analysis

Ares International (TWSE:2471) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At NT$3.29

TWSE:2471
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Ares International Corp. (TWSE:2471) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 21st of August to NT$3.29. This will take the annual payment to 5.5% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

See our latest analysis for Ares International

Ares International's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Ares International's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 113% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

Earnings per share could rise by 15.9% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 85%, which is definitely on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

historic-dividend
TWSE:2471 Historic Dividend July 12th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from NT$1.00 total annually to NT$3.29. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 13% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

Ares International Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Ares International has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 16% per annum. Recently, the company has been able to grow earnings at a decent rate, but with the payout ratio on the higher end we don't think the dividend has many prospects for growth.

Ares International's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Ares International's payments are rock solid. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Ares International (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.