Stock Analysis

We Think Gigastorage (TWSE:2406) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

TWSE:2406
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Gigastorage Corporation (TWSE:2406) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Gigastorage

How Much Debt Does Gigastorage Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Gigastorage had NT$6.45b of debt, up from NT$3.18b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$2.01b, its net debt is less, at about NT$4.44b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:2406 Debt to Equity History June 26th 2024

How Healthy Is Gigastorage's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Gigastorage had liabilities of NT$4.22b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$3.15b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$2.01b and NT$1.59b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$3.77b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Gigastorage has a market capitalization of NT$8.30b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Gigastorage will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Gigastorage made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to NT$4.5b, which is a fall of 26%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Gigastorage's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping NT$851m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through NT$2.1b of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Gigastorage you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.