Stock Analysis

Marketech International's (TPE:6196) Earnings Are Growing But Is There More To The Story?

TWSE:6196
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As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Marketech International (TPE:6196).

We like the fact that Marketech International made a profit of NT$875.3m on its revenue of NT$24.6b, in the last year. In the chart below, you can see that its profit and revenue have both grown over the last three years.

See our latest analysis for Marketech International

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSEC:6196 Earnings and Revenue History February 16th 2021

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. So today we'll look at what Marketech International's cashflow tells us about the quality of its earnings. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

A Closer Look At Marketech International's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2020, Marketech International had an accrual ratio of -0.14. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of NT$1.9b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of NT$875.3m. Marketech International shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Our Take On Marketech International's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Marketech International has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Marketech International's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 34% annually, over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Marketech International you should be aware of.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Marketech International's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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