Stock Analysis

Grand Process Technology Corporation's (GTSM:3131) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

TPEX:3131
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Grand Process Technology (GTSM:3131) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 12% over the last three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Grand Process Technology's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Grand Process Technology

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Grand Process Technology is:

14% = NT$374m ÷ NT$2.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each NT$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made NT$0.14 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Grand Process Technology's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

To start with, Grand Process Technology's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. As you might expect, the 7.3% net income decline reported by Grand Process Technology is a bit of a surprise. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

So, as a next step, we compared Grand Process Technology's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 8.9% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
GTSM:3131 Past Earnings Growth January 25th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Grand Process Technology's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Grand Process Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 71% (implying that 29% of the profits are retained), most of Grand Process Technology's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely.

In addition, Grand Process Technology has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Grand Process Technology has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren't reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. You can do your own research on Grand Process Technology and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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