Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Farglory Land Development Co., Ltd. (TPE:5522) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Farglory Land Development
What Is Farglory Land Development's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Farglory Land Development had debt of NT$33.5b, up from NT$27.1b in one year. However, it does have NT$6.05b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$27.5b.
A Look At Farglory Land Development's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Farglory Land Development had liabilities of NT$48.1b due within a year, and liabilities of NT$4.38b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$6.05b as well as receivables valued at NT$1.17b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$45.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of NT$44.0b, we think shareholders really should watch Farglory Land Development's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
As it happens Farglory Land Development has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.2 but very strong interest coverage of 14.4. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. We note that Farglory Land Development grew its EBIT by 22% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Farglory Land Development's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Farglory Land Development produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 77% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Based on what we've seen Farglory Land Development is not finding it easy, given its net debt to EBITDA, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Farglory Land Development is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Farglory Land Development is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TWSE:5522
Farglory Land Development
Together with its subsidiary, Farglory Construction Co., Ltd., develops real estate properties in Taiwan.
Established dividend payer and good value.