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These 4 Measures Indicate That Huaku Development (TPE:2548) Is Using Debt Extensively
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Huaku Development Co., Ltd. (TPE:2548) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Huaku Development
How Much Debt Does Huaku Development Carry?
As you can see below, Huaku Development had NT$12.9b of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has NT$633.8m in cash leading to net debt of about NT$12.3b.
How Healthy Is Huaku Development's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Huaku Development had liabilities of NT$13.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$5.03b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$633.8m and NT$319.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$17.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of NT$25.8b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Huaku Development's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Huaku Development has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.9, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 1k is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Unfortunately, Huaku Development's EBIT flopped 17% over the last four quarters. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Huaku Development can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Huaku Development's free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Mulling over Huaku Development's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Huaku Development's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Huaku Development you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TWSE:2548
Huaku Development
Huaku Development Co., Ltd. builds, constructs, sells, and leases residential and commercial buildings in Taiwan and China.
6 star dividend payer with acceptable track record.