Stock Analysis

Here's Why Hung Ching Development & Construction (TPE:2527) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

TWSE:2527
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hung Ching Development & Construction Co. Ltd. (TPE:2527) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Hung Ching Development & Construction

How Much Debt Does Hung Ching Development & Construction Carry?

As you can see below, Hung Ching Development & Construction had NT$7.17b of debt at December 2020, down from NT$7.98b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$590.6m, its net debt is less, at about NT$6.58b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2527 Debt to Equity History April 10th 2021

How Strong Is Hung Ching Development & Construction's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hung Ching Development & Construction had liabilities of NT$6.70b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$2.06b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$590.6m in cash and NT$30.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$8.13b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's NT$5.60b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 12.0, it's fair to say Hung Ching Development & Construction does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.6 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Worse, Hung Ching Development & Construction's EBIT was down 68% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Hung Ching Development & Construction's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Hung Ching Development & Construction actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

On the face of it, Hung Ching Development & Construction's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Hung Ching Development & Construction to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hung Ching Development & Construction .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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