Stock Analysis

Shinkong Synthetic Fibers' (TWSE:1409) Dividend Is Being Reduced To NT$0.55

TWSE:1409
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Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Corporation (TWSE:1409) has announced that on 27th of September, it will be paying a dividend ofNT$0.55, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. This means that the annual payment will be 3.5% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Shinkong Synthetic Fibers

Shinkong Synthetic Fibers Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Before making this announcement, Shinkong Synthetic Fibers was paying out a fairly large proportion of earnings, and it wasn't generating positive free cash flows either. This is a pretty unsustainable practice, and could be risky if continued for the long term.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 15.6% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 110%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
TWSE:1409 Historic Dividend August 8th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was NT$0.30 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was NT$0.55. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 6.2% over that duration. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings per share has been sinking by 16% over the last five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shinkong Synthetic Fibers (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.