Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kingcan Holdings (TPE:8411) Is Using Debt Extensively

TWSE:8411
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Kingcan Holdings Limited (TPE:8411) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is Kingcan Holdings's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kingcan Holdings had NT$3.56b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of NT$1.55b, its net debt is less, at about NT$2.01b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:8411 Debt to Equity History January 28th 2021

How Strong Is Kingcan Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kingcan Holdings had liabilities of NT$2.34b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$2.31b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$1.55b as well as receivables valued at NT$1.66b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$1.44b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of NT$2.37b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Kingcan Holdings' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Kingcan Holdings has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.4 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.1 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. One redeeming factor for Kingcan Holdings is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of NT$174m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kingcan Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Kingcan Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Kingcan Holdings's net debt to EBITDA and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. We think that Kingcan Holdings's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kingcan Holdings (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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