We Think Taimide Tech (TPE:3645) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Taimide Tech. Inc. (TPE:3645) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Taimide Tech
What Is Taimide Tech's Debt?
As you can see below, Taimide Tech had NT$1.77b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had NT$337.1m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$1.44b.
How Strong Is Taimide Tech's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Taimide Tech had liabilities of NT$874.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$1.45b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$337.1m and NT$600.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$1.39b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Taimide Tech has a market capitalization of NT$6.44b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Taimide Tech's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.4 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 13.0 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Importantly, Taimide Tech grew its EBIT by 38% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Taimide Tech's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Taimide Tech saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Based on what we've seen Taimide Tech is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Taimide Tech is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Taimide Tech you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TWSE:3645
Taimide Tech
Engages in the manufacture and sale of polyimide films in Taiwan, China, South Korea, Japan, the United States, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.