There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at TMP Steel (GTSM:6248) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for TMP Steel:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.098 = NT$85m ÷ (NT$1.3b - NT$423m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, TMP Steel has an ROCE of 9.8%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 3.6% generated by the Metals and Mining industry, it's much better.
See our latest analysis for TMP Steel
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating TMP Steel's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at TMP Steel doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 9.8% from 13% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Key Takeaway
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by TMP Steel's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Additionally, the stock's total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat, which isn't too surprising. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 4 warning signs with TMP Steel (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
While TMP Steel isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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About TPEX:6248
TMP Steel
Manufactures and sells iron and steel building materials in Taiwan.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.