Stock Analysis

Is Camellia Metal (GTSM:2064) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

TPEX:2064
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Camellia Metal Co., Ltd. (GTSM:2064) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Camellia Metal

How Much Debt Does Camellia Metal Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Camellia Metal had debt of NT$1.52b, up from NT$1.46b in one year. On the flip side, it has NT$228.2m in cash leading to net debt of about NT$1.29b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:2064 Debt to Equity History January 8th 2021

How Healthy Is Camellia Metal's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Camellia Metal had liabilities of NT$1.50b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$219.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$228.2m and NT$417.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$1.08b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's NT$1.01b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Camellia Metal will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Camellia Metal made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to NT$1.7b, which is a fall of 26%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Camellia Metal's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable NT$104m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. It's fair to say the loss of NT$153m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - Camellia Metal has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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