Stock Analysis

Is Parpro (TPE:4916) A Risky Investment?

TWSE:4916
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Parpro Corporation (TPE:4916) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Parpro

How Much Debt Does Parpro Carry?

As you can see below, Parpro had NT$1.41b of debt at December 2020, down from NT$2.86b a year prior. However, it does have NT$500.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$911.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:4916 Debt to Equity History April 13th 2021

A Look At Parpro's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Parpro had liabilities of NT$1.15b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$676.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$500.2m and NT$355.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NT$973.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Parpro is worth NT$2.01b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Parpro's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Parpro made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to NT$3.4b, which is a fall of 57%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Parpro's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at NT$112m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of NT$146m into a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Parpro (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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