Stock Analysis

Hoya Resort Hotel Group (GTSM:2736) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

TPEX:2736
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hoya Resort Hotel Group (GTSM:2736) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hoya Resort Hotel Group

What Is Hoya Resort Hotel Group's Debt?

As you can see below, Hoya Resort Hotel Group had NT$589.4m of debt at September 2020, down from NT$620.7m a year prior. However, it does have NT$288.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$300.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:2736 Debt to Equity History January 3rd 2021

How Strong Is Hoya Resort Hotel Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hoya Resort Hotel Group had liabilities of NT$307.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$898.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$288.9m and NT$33.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$884.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's NT$685.9m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Hoya Resort Hotel Group's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.9) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.48, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, the silver lining was that Hoya Resort Hotel Group achieved a positive EBIT of NT$9.9m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hoya Resort Hotel Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Hoya Resort Hotel Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

To be frank both Hoya Resort Hotel Group's level of total liabilities and its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Hoya Resort Hotel Group stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hoya Resort Hotel Group (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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