Stock Analysis

Is There More To The Story Than Tait Marketing & Distribution's (GTSM:5902) Earnings Growth?

TPEX:5902
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Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing Tait Marketing & Distribution (GTSM:5902).

While Tait Marketing & Distribution was able to generate revenue of NT$1.54b in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of NT$106.4m was more important. As depicted below, while its revenue may have fallen over the last few years, its profit actually improved.

See our latest analysis for Tait Marketing & Distribution

earnings-and-revenue-history
GTSM:5902 Earnings and Revenue History December 14th 2020

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. Today, we'll discuss Tait Marketing & Distribution's free cashflow relative to its earnings, and consider what that tells us about the company. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tait Marketing & Distribution.

Examining Cashflow Against Tait Marketing & Distribution's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Tait Marketing & Distribution has an accrual ratio of -0.21 for the year to September 2020. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of NT$248m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of NT$106.4m. Tait Marketing & Distribution shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Our Take On Tait Marketing & Distribution's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Tait Marketing & Distribution's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Tait Marketing & Distribution's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. While conducting our analysis, we found that Tait Marketing & Distribution has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Tait Marketing & Distribution's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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