Johnson Health Tech .Co., Ltd.'s (TWSE:1736) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
Johnson Health Tech .Co., Ltd.'s (TWSE:1736) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.2x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Taiwan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 20x and even P/E's below 14x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Johnson Health Tech .Co has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Johnson Health Tech .Co
Is There Enough Growth For Johnson Health Tech .Co?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Johnson Health Tech .Co's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 242% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 6,256% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 1.9% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Johnson Health Tech .Co's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Johnson Health Tech .Co's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Johnson Health Tech .Co has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:1736
Johnson Health Tech .Co
Johnson Health Tech. Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of sports and fitness equipment in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Solid track record with mediocre balance sheet.
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