The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Giant Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TPE:9921) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Giant Manufacturing
What Is Giant Manufacturing's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Giant Manufacturing had NT$15.4b of debt in September 2020, down from NT$19.6b, one year before. However, it also had NT$15.2b in cash, and so its net debt is NT$238.0m.
A Look At Giant Manufacturing's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Giant Manufacturing had liabilities of NT$27.7b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$6.78b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had NT$15.2b in cash and NT$12.1b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$7.22b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Giant Manufacturing has a market capitalization of NT$105.0b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. But either way, Giant Manufacturing has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Giant Manufacturing has barely any net debt, as demonstrated by its net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.032. Humorously, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt as easily as enthusiastic spray-tanners take on an orange hue. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Giant Manufacturing has boosted its EBIT by 32%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Giant Manufacturing can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Giant Manufacturing recorded free cash flow worth 54% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
The good news is that Giant Manufacturing's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Overall, we don't think Giant Manufacturing is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Giant Manufacturing that you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About TWSE:9921
Giant Manufacturing
Engages in the manufacturing and sale of bicycles, electric bicycles, and related parts in Taiwan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.