Stock Analysis

We Think Honmyue Enterprise (TPE:1474) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

TWSE:1474
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Honmyue Enterprise Co., Ltd. (TPE:1474) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Honmyue Enterprise

How Much Debt Does Honmyue Enterprise Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Honmyue Enterprise had NT$1.25b of debt, an increase on NT$1.20b, over one year. However, it does have NT$823.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$427.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:1474 Debt to Equity History March 9th 2021

A Look At Honmyue Enterprise's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Honmyue Enterprise had liabilities of NT$1.48b due within 12 months and liabilities of NT$396.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$823.9m as well as receivables valued at NT$620.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$432.5m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Honmyue Enterprise has a market capitalization of NT$1.63b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Honmyue Enterprise has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.8 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On a slightly more positive note, Honmyue Enterprise grew its EBIT at 13% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Honmyue Enterprise's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Honmyue Enterprise saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Honmyue Enterprise's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to grow its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Honmyue Enterprise is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Honmyue Enterprise (including 2 which don't sit too well with us) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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