Stock Analysis

Is Taiwan Secom (TWSE:9917) A Risky Investment?

TWSE:9917
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Taiwan Secom Co., Ltd. (TWSE:9917) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Taiwan Secom

What Is Taiwan Secom's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Taiwan Secom had debt of NT$5.42b, up from NT$4.87b in one year. However, it does have NT$4.77b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$645.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:9917 Debt to Equity History June 23rd 2024

How Strong Is Taiwan Secom's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Taiwan Secom had liabilities of NT$6.55b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$6.76b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$4.77b as well as receivables valued at NT$2.63b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$5.92b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Taiwan Secom shares are worth a total of NT$60.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, Taiwan Secom has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Taiwan Secom's net debt is only 0.17 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 34.2 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that Taiwan Secom has increased its EBIT by 3.8% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Taiwan Secom's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Taiwan Secom produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Taiwan Secom's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Zooming out, Taiwan Secom seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Taiwan Secom is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.