Stock Analysis

Analysts Are Updating Their Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry Co., Ltd. (TWSE:2421) Estimates After Its Full-Year Results

TWSE:2421
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Investors in Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry Co., Ltd. (TWSE:2421) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.4% to close at NT$100.00 following the release of its full-year results. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of NT$15b and statutory earnings per share of NT$5.45. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry after the latest results.

See our latest analysis for Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry

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TWSE:2421 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 9th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry's four analysts is for revenues of NT$17.5b in 2025. This would reflect a solid 20% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 32% to NT$7.20. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of NT$17.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of NT$7.48 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

The consensus price target held steady at NT$136, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry at NT$160 per share, while the most bearish prices it at NT$118. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 20% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.7% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 15% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sunonwealth Electric Machine Industry you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.