Stock Analysis

Here's Why Hiwin Technologies (TWSE:2049) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TWSE:2049
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hiwin Technologies Corporation (TWSE:2049) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Hiwin Technologies

What Is Hiwin Technologies's Debt?

As you can see below, Hiwin Technologies had NT$9.05b of debt at September 2024, down from NT$9.46b a year prior. However, it does have NT$6.42b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$2.62b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:2049 Debt to Equity History February 3rd 2025

How Strong Is Hiwin Technologies' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hiwin Technologies had liabilities of NT$7.85b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$8.47b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$6.42b in cash and NT$4.02b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling NT$5.87b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Hiwin Technologies shares are worth a total of NT$101.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Hiwin Technologies's net debt is only 0.65 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 20.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. It is just as well that Hiwin Technologies's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 35% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hiwin Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Hiwin Technologies recorded free cash flow worth 66% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Hiwin Technologies's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Considering this range of data points, we think Hiwin Technologies is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hiwin Technologies you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hiwin Technologies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TWSE:2049

Hiwin Technologies

Manufactures and sells motion control and systematic technology products.

Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.

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