Stock Analysis

Does Hiwin Technologies (TWSE:2049) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TWSE:2049
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hiwin Technologies Corporation (TWSE:2049) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hiwin Technologies

How Much Debt Does Hiwin Technologies Carry?

As you can see below, Hiwin Technologies had NT$9.09b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have NT$7.82b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$1.27b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TWSE:2049 Debt to Equity History October 28th 2024

A Look At Hiwin Technologies' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hiwin Technologies had liabilities of NT$9.01b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$8.39b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$7.82b and NT$3.88b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total NT$5.71b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Hiwin Technologies shares are worth a total of NT$83.8b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Hiwin Technologies's net debt is only 0.30 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 21.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In fact Hiwin Technologies's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 41% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hiwin Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Hiwin Technologies produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 77% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, Hiwin Technologies's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its EBIT growth rate. All these things considered, it appears that Hiwin Technologies can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Hiwin Technologies, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hiwin Technologies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.