Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co., Ltd. (GTSM:4561) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Kenturn Nano. Tec's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Kenturn Nano. Tec had debt of NT$620.8m, up from NT$420.5m in one year. However, it also had NT$406.4m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$214.3m.
How Healthy Is Kenturn Nano. Tec's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kenturn Nano. Tec had liabilities of NT$497.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$714.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had NT$406.4m in cash and NT$190.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total NT$615.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Kenturn Nano. Tec has a market capitalization of NT$2.05b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Kenturn Nano. Tec has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.4. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.2 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Kenturn Nano. Tec grew its EBIT by 84% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kenturn Nano. Tec will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Kenturn Nano. Tec burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Based on what we've seen Kenturn Nano. Tec is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. Considering this range of data points, we think Kenturn Nano. Tec is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Kenturn Nano. Tec (2 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TPEX:4561
Kenturn Nano. Tec
Engages in the design, manufacture, fabrication, and marketing of machine tool spindles in Taiwan and China.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.