King's Town Bank Co., Ltd.

TWSE:2809 Stock Report

Market Cap: NT$54.6b

King's Town Bank Valuation

Is 2809 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2809 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2809 (NT$49.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NT$86.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2809 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2809?

Key metric: As 2809 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2809. This is calculated by dividing 2809's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2809's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.8x
EarningsNT$5.58b
Market CapNT$54.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2809's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2809 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.9x
2845 Far Eastern International Bank
13.4xn/aNT$57.3b
2838 Union Bank of Taiwan
13.2xn/aNT$65.7b
2812 Taichung Commercial Bank
12.1xn/aNT$100.2b
2834 Taiwan Business Bank
12.8xn/aNT$141.2b
2809 King's Town Bank
9.8x7.0%NT$54.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2809 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the peer average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2809's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Banks Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2809 9.8xIndustry Avg. 8.5xNo. of Companies80PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2809 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the Asian Banks industry average (8.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2809's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2809 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.8x
Fair PE Ratio14.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2809 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2809 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNT$49.15
NT$60.00
+22.1%
3.3%NT$62.00NT$58.00n/a2
Nov ’25NT$49.50
NT$60.00
+21.2%
3.3%NT$62.00NT$58.00n/a2
Oct ’25NT$56.30
NT$60.00
+6.6%
3.3%NT$62.00NT$58.00n/a2
Sep ’25NT$53.70
NT$60.00
+11.7%
3.3%NT$62.00NT$58.00n/a2
Aug ’25NT$59.30
NT$55.50
-6.4%
11.7%NT$62.00NT$49.00n/a2
Jul ’25NT$63.80
NT$55.50
-13.0%
11.7%NT$62.00NT$49.00n/a2
Jun ’25NT$60.00
NT$55.50
-7.5%
11.7%NT$62.00NT$49.00n/a2
May ’25NT$56.10
NT$50.00
-10.9%
2.0%NT$51.00NT$49.00n/a2
Apr ’25NT$52.10
NT$50.00
-4.0%
2.0%NT$51.00NT$49.00n/a2
Mar ’25NT$44.70
NT$46.95
+5.0%
8.6%NT$51.00NT$42.90n/a2
Feb ’25NT$40.85
NT$43.95
+7.6%
2.4%NT$45.00NT$42.90n/a2
Jan ’25NT$39.95
NT$43.95
+10.0%
2.4%NT$45.00NT$42.90n/a2
Dec ’24NT$39.85
NT$43.95
+10.3%
2.4%NT$45.00NT$42.90n/a2
Nov ’24NT$37.15
NT$42.95
+15.6%
0.1%NT$43.00NT$42.90NT$49.502
Oct ’24NT$37.10
NT$42.95
+15.8%
0.1%NT$43.00NT$42.90NT$56.302
Sep ’24NT$36.90
NT$42.95
+16.4%
0.1%NT$43.00NT$42.90NT$53.702
Aug ’24NT$36.15
NT$41.45
+14.7%
3.5%NT$42.90NT$40.00NT$59.302
Jul ’24NT$35.55
NT$41.45
+16.6%
3.5%NT$42.90NT$40.00NT$63.802
Jun ’24NT$35.75
NT$41.45
+15.9%
3.5%NT$42.90NT$40.00NT$60.002
May ’24NT$35.25
NT$41.45
+17.6%
3.5%NT$42.90NT$40.00NT$56.102
Apr ’24NT$35.25
NT$41.45
+17.6%
3.5%NT$42.90NT$40.00NT$52.102
Mar ’24NT$33.80
NT$41.45
+22.6%
3.5%NT$42.90NT$40.00NT$44.702
Feb ’24NT$34.95
NT$42.45
+21.5%
1.1%NT$42.90NT$42.00NT$40.852
Jan ’24NT$33.90
NT$42.45
+25.2%
1.1%NT$42.90NT$42.00NT$39.952
Dec ’23NT$35.30
NT$42.45
+20.3%
1.1%NT$42.90NT$42.00NT$39.852
Nov ’23NT$30.85
NT$42.45
+37.6%
1.1%NT$42.90NT$42.00NT$37.152

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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