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Cryomax Cooling System Corp.'s (TWSE:1587) Shares Climb 31% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
The Cryomax Cooling System Corp. (TWSE:1587) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 31%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 33%.
After such a large jump in price, Cryomax Cooling System may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 50.1x, since almost half of all companies in Taiwan have P/E ratios under 22x and even P/E's lower than 15x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Cryomax Cooling System over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Cryomax Cooling System
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Cryomax Cooling System's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Cryomax Cooling System's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 69%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 76% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Cryomax Cooling System's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Cryomax Cooling System's P/E?
The strong share price surge has got Cryomax Cooling System's P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Cryomax Cooling System revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Cryomax Cooling System has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Cryomax Cooling System's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TWSE:1587
Cryomax Cooling System
Engages in the manufacture and sale of automotive radiators in Taiwan and internationally.
Slight and slightly overvalued.