Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, China Motor Corporation (TPE:2204) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for China Motor
What Is China Motor's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Motor had debt of NT$534.9m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from NT$710.0m over a year. But it also has NT$10.0b in cash to offset that, meaning it has NT$9.49b net cash.
How Strong Is China Motor's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that China Motor had liabilities of NT$6.44b due within a year, and liabilities of NT$1.50b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$10.0b and NT$2.86b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast NT$4.93b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that China Motor is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, China Motor boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
While China Motor doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Motor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. China Motor may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, China Motor created free cash flow amounting to 20% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Summing up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that China Motor has net cash of NT$9.49b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with China Motor's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Motor that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About TWSE:2204
China Motor
Engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles and related parts and components in Taiwan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.