If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Luhai Holding (TPE:2115) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Luhai Holding is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.081 = NT$282m ÷ (NT$4.2b - NT$710m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, Luhai Holding has an ROCE of 8.1%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 4.7% generated by the Auto Components industry, it's much better.
See our latest analysis for Luhai Holding
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Luhai Holding compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Luhai Holding here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Luhai Holding's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 12%, but since then they've fallen to 8.1%. However it looks like Luhai Holding might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Bottom Line On Luhai Holding's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Luhai Holding's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Since the stock has gained an impressive 57% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
If you'd like to know more about Luhai Holding, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
While Luhai Holding may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:2115
Luhai Holding
Manufactures and sells tire valves and accessories worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.