TAV Havalimanlari Holding Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of TAVHL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

TAVHL (TRY267.75) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (TRY104.56)

Is TAVHL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TAVHL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TAVHL (TRY267.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (TRY104.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TAVHL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TAVHL?

Key metric: As TAVHL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TAVHL. This is calculated by dividing TAVHL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TAVHL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	11.1x
Earnings	₺8.79b
Market Cap	₺93.54b

TAVHL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	8.5x
PEG Ratio	0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TAVHL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TAVHL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	9.7x
CLEBI Çelebi Hava Servisi	18.5x	n/a	₺51.2b
PGSUS Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi Anonim Sirketi	4.8x	-7.6%	₺109.9b
RYSAS Reysas Tasimacilik ve Lojistik Ticaret	13.5x	n/a	₺37.4b
THYAO Türk Hava Yollari Anonim Ortakligi	2.1x	-12.1%	₺374.0b
TAVHL TAV Havalimanlari Holding	11.1x	13.6%	₺93.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TAVHL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (9.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TAVHL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Infrastructure Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TAVHL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the Asian Infrastructure industry average (13.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TAVHL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TAVHL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	11.1x
Fair PE Ratio	6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TAVHL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TAVHL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	₺267.75	₺350.55 +30.9%	12.0%	₺422.41	₺297.85	n/a	10
Nov ’25	₺233.40	₺354.63 +51.9%	12.1%	₺428.12	₺301.87	n/a	10
Oct ’25	₺238.70	₺363.07 +52.1%	10.1%	₺429.40	₺318.80	n/a	11
Sep ’25	₺249.90	₺365.88 +46.4%	10.5%	₺440.17	₺318.61	n/a	11
Aug ’25	₺269.25	₺307.49 +14.2%	20.8%	₺396.58	₺173.01	n/a	11
Jul ’25	₺256.50	₺276.43 +7.8%	16.2%	₺331.55	₺169.60	n/a	9
Jun ’25	₺240.70	₺270.85 +12.5%	16.5%	₺330.59	₺169.11	n/a	8
May ’25	₺219.90	₺257.05 +16.9%	19.8%	₺328.43	₺168.00	n/a	8
Apr ’25	₺188.20	₺239.94 +27.5%	17.2%	₺338.23	₺201.97	n/a	8
Mar ’25	₺170.80	₺225.60 +32.1%	21.0%	₺327.59	₺154.14	n/a	8
Feb ’25	₺139.70	₺211.09 +51.1%	19.8%	₺301.38	₺150.25	n/a	9
Jan ’25	₺107.50	₺198.31 +84.5%	19.4%	₺287.86	₺158.31	n/a	9
Dec ’24	₺116.80	₺198.31 +69.8%	19.4%	₺287.86	₺158.31	n/a	9
Nov ’24	₺112.00	₺189.78 +69.4%	18.9%	₺274.18	₺153.72	₺233.40	9
Oct ’24	₺125.30	₺167.32 +33.5%	12.7%	₺205.13	₺148.43	₺238.70	9
Sep ’24	₺124.70	₺176.34 +41.4%	13.1%	₺209.11	₺151.30	₺249.90	9
Aug ’24	₺110.10	₺168.53 +53.1%	16.1%	₺210.66	₺121.43	₺269.25	9
Jul ’24	₺93.35	₺141.78 +51.9%	9.5%	₺159.33	₺124.16	₺256.50	9
Jun ’24	₺77.50	₺133.50 +72.3%	9.5%	₺149.97	₺116.86	₺240.70	9
May ’24	₺70.45	₺133.50 +89.5%	9.5%	₺149.97	₺116.86	₺219.90	9
Apr ’24	₺73.90	₺130.55 +76.7%	8.5%	₺147.41	₺117.32	₺188.20	9
Mar ’24	₺77.60	₺130.55 +68.2%	8.5%	₺147.41	₺117.32	₺170.80	9
Feb ’24	₺77.00	₺124.66 +61.9%	13.2%	₺146.63	₺84.96	₺139.70	9
Jan ’24	₺93.50	₺118.74 +27.0%	11.4%	₺129.92	₺82.37	₺107.50	9
Dec ’23	₺87.00	₺116.45 +33.9%	11.8%	₺128.64	₺81.56	₺116.80	9
Nov ’23	₺79.35	₺104.76 +32.0%	16.1%	₺121.56	₺77.07	₺112.00	9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.