SCG Packaging Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of SCGP-R when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

SCGP-R (THB24) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (THB26.98)

Is SCGP-R undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SCGP-R when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SCGP-R (THB24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (THB26.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SCGP-R is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SCGP-R?

Key metric: As SCGP-R is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SCGP-R. This is calculated by dividing SCGP-R's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SCGP-R's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	20.7x
Earnings	฿4.97b
Market Cap	฿103.03b

SCGP-R key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	10.4x
PEG Ratio	1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SCGP-R's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SCGP-R vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	9x
PTL Polyplex (Thailand)	9.3x	n/a	฿11.2b
UTP United Paper	8.3x	n/a	฿5.5b
SFLEX Starflex	9.9x	5.4%	฿2.5b
THIP Thantawan Industry	8.5x	n/a	฿2.6b
SCGP-R SCG Packaging	20.7x	11.3%	฿103.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SCGP-R is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the peer average (8.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SCGP-R's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the TH Packaging Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SCGP-R is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the TH Packaging industry average (9.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SCGP-R's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SCGP-R PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	20.7x
Fair PE Ratio	16.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SCGP-R is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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