Starflex Public Company Limited

SET:SFLEX Stock Report

Market Cap: ฿2.6b

Starflex Valuation

Is SFLEX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SFLEX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SFLEX (THB3.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (THB11.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SFLEX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SFLEX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SFLEX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.7x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SFLEX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SFLEX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.8x
THIP Thantawan Industry
8xn/a฿2.5b
PJW Panjawattana Plastic
11.8x16.2%฿1.9b
TPBI TPBI
6.5xn/a฿1.7b
STP Sahathai Printing & Packaging
12.9xn/a฿1.4b
SFLEX Starflex
12.5x10.6%฿2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SFLEX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SFLEX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the TH Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SFLEX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the TH Packaging industry average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SFLEX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SFLEX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ratio11.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SFLEX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SFLEX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current฿3.30
฿4.95
+50.0%
11.6%฿5.60฿4.20n/a4
May ’25฿3.18
฿4.95
+55.7%
11.6%฿5.60฿4.20n/a4
Apr ’25฿3.20
฿4.95
+54.7%
11.6%฿5.60฿4.20n/a4
Mar ’25฿3.30
฿4.95
+50.0%
11.6%฿5.60฿4.20n/a4
Feb ’25฿3.44
฿5.25
+52.6%
9.5%฿5.60฿4.40n/a4
Jan ’25฿3.58
฿5.25
+46.6%
9.5%฿5.60฿4.40n/a4
Dec ’24฿3.48
฿5.23
+50.1%
9.2%฿5.60฿4.40n/a4
Nov ’24฿3.40
฿5.61
+65.1%
8.6%฿6.35฿5.00n/a4
Oct ’24฿3.36
฿5.61
+67.0%
8.6%฿6.35฿5.00n/a4
Sep ’24฿3.90
฿5.61
+43.9%
8.6%฿6.35฿5.00n/a4
Aug ’24฿4.32
฿5.62
+30.0%
9.9%฿6.35฿5.00n/a3
Jul ’24฿4.08
฿5.05
+23.8%
8.9%฿5.50฿4.60n/a2
Jun ’24฿3.76
฿4.65
+23.7%
1.1%฿4.70฿4.60n/a2
May ’24฿3.32
฿4.65
+40.1%
1.1%฿4.70฿4.60฿3.182
Apr ’24฿3.74
฿4.65
+24.3%
1.1%฿4.70฿4.60฿3.202
Mar ’24฿3.70
฿3.71
+0.3%
24.0%฿4.60฿2.82฿3.302

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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