Ocean Glass Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of OGC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

OGC (THB20.4) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (THB1.95)

Is OGC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OGC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OGC (THB20.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (THB1.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OGC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OGC?

Key metric: As OGC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for OGC. This is calculated by dividing OGC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is OGC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.2x
Sales	฿1.87b
Market Cap	฿435.15m

OGC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	5.6x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OGC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OGC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.6x
HPT Home Pottery	1x	n/a	฿311.2m
ECF East Coast Furnitech	0.3x	n/a	฿412.6m
TCMC TCM Corporation	0.08x	n/a	฿549.5m
KOOL CL Venture	1.1x	n/a	฿825.1m
OGC Ocean Glass	0.2x	n/a	฿435.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OGC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does OGC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Durables Industry?

55 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	1.1x	6.2%
OGC Ocean Glass	0.2x	n/a	US$12.58m

55 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	1.1x	13.2%
OGC Ocean Glass	0.2x	n/a	US$12.58m

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OGC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the Asian Consumer Durables industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OGC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OGC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.2x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OGC's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.