Stock Analysis

Investors in Krka d. d (LJSE:KRKG) have seen splendid returns of 155% over the past five years

LJSE:KRKG
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These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the Krka, d. d. (LJSE:KRKG) share price is 96% higher than it was five years ago, which is more than the market average. We're also happy to report the stock is up a healthy 30% in the last year.

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

See our latest analysis for Krka d. d

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, Krka d. d achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 12% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 14% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
LJSE:KRKG Earnings Per Share Growth November 15th 2024

We know that Krka d. d has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Krka d. d will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Krka d. d the TSR over the last 5 years was 155%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Krka d. d provided a TSR of 37% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 21% over half a decade This suggests the company might be improving over time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Krka d. d you should know about.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Slovenian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Krka d. d might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LJSE:KRKG

Krka d. d

A generic pharmaceutical company, develops, produces, markets, and sells prescription pharmaceuticals, non-prescription products, and animal health products in Slovenia, South-East Europe, East Europe, Central Europe, West Europe, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.